Saturday, October 25, 2014

Is the “Umbrella Revolution” Bad for Hong Kong?

by Dr. Gerard Emershaw

Hong Kong’s current “Umbrella Revolution” is a vibrant protest movement led by young people who are demanding more political freedom. The movement was begun by a group called Occupy Central With Love & Peace, which is led by Hong Kong University law professor Benny Tai. The movement earned its nickname in honor of the umbrellas that its members carry as a way of repelling pepper spray that government officers have employed against protesters. What the members of the “Umbrella Revolution” want is democracy. They seek the ability to nominate and directly elect the leader of Hong Kong—known as the Chief Executive. As it currently stands, candidates for Hong Kong’s Chief Executive must be vetted by a group of “tycoons, oligarchs and pro-Beijing figures.”

It seems inevitable that the “Umbrella Movement” will be put down by Beijing. There are frightening indications that China may declare martial law in Hong Kong and use the military to crush the protest movement. If history is any indication, the “Umbrella Movement” may be ended in a violent manner as were the protests in Tiananmen Square in 1989.

Hong Kong’s current Chief Executive Leung Chun-ying justifies the practice of collectivist oligarchs choosing Hong Kong’s leaders. He argues that the democratic reform proposed by the “Umbrella Movement” is unacceptable because it would give poorer residents a dominant voice in politics. Leung claims that the current anti-democratic political process in Hong Kong will “insulate Hong Kong’s next chief executive from popular pressure to create a welfare state and allow the government to implement more business-friendly policies to address economic inequality.”

Does Leung’s point have any validity at all? John Adams coined the phrase “tyranny of the majority,” which Alexis de Tocqueville later popularized in his book Democracy in America. The genius of the American form of Constitutional Republic is that it prevents tyranny of the majority by which 51% of voters would have the power to do whatever they wished to the remaining 49%. It has often been said: “A democracy can only exist until the voters discover that they can vote themselves largess from the public treasury.” Would poor Hong Kong citizens inevitably force their elected leaders to turn the famously free market city into a welfare state?

The interesting thing is that there is a tension between Hong Kong’s free market economics and Beijing’s totalitarianism. Creating a collectivist welfare state in which a large percentage of the population is dependent on the central government for bread and circuses is one of the most efficient ways to ensure that the government will retain and increase its power. Hong Kong’s free market economic policies are likely to eventually further increase affluence and create a populace that is less dependent on government, and hence less afraid to stand up to it.

Tyranny of the majority and the populist desire of the poor for a welfare state are only dangers when there is not a Constitution that protects the nation from such things. The American welfare state was not created until the Supreme Court stopped enforcing the letter of the Constitution. Fear of economic tyranny of the impoverished majority is not a valid excuse for Hong Kong to deny its citizens democratic reform. Leung is defending one form of Collectivism in which a group of corporatist and governmental “philosopher-kings” dominate the people. The bogeyman that Leung fearmongers against is a communist one in which a 21st century Marxist “philosopher-king” version of Mao and his or her cronies will dominate the people in the name of the people. What Hong Kong needs to do is defend free markets and the economic rule of law while granting even greater democratic reforms and social freedoms to its people. Freedom and the fair enforcement of the rule of law in defense of natural rights to life, liberty, and property is the recipe for affluence. Oligarchy will always eventually stifle wealth and impoverish the people as it did in China and North Korea.

(For a much more detailed discussion of how Individualism and freedom lead to affluence while Collectivism leads to poverty, read my new book The Real Culture War: Individualism vs. Collectivism & How Bill O’Reilly Got It All Wrong. Available now on Amazon in both print and Kindle.)

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